There are four weeks left in the race for the Meisterschale and anyone who only casually follows the Bundesliga will assume they know what's going to happen to Bayern Munich next.

Yet outright assuredness that an 11th successive title is now virtually guaranteed has not permeated the ranks of Bayern supporters themselves. Far from it. This season is too unpredictable, too capricious. In other words, it's not very "Bayern-like" (an English-sounding expression that has worked its way into German language).

Look at the past few matchdays, since just before Bayern's bosses dismissed Julian Nagelsmann in favour of Thomas Tuchel. The lead at the summit of the table has changed hands no fewer than five times. From Bayern to Borussia Dortmund to Bayern to Dortmund and back to Bayern again. It feels a bit like football's answer to musical chairs. Who will sit in the winning seat when the music stops on May 27?

Bayern have a one-point lead but the arithmetic still means that a single draw by the Rekordmeister could hand the title to the Black and Yellow. Given Bayern's drama on and off the pitch, that is not a comforting position to be in.

You can make a coherent argument that of all the fixtures remaining for the two title protagonists, Bayern have the thorniest one of all in RB Leipzig at home on May 20. Leipzig may desperately need the win to try to haul themselves into next season's Champions League, a minimum goal for them.

How did Bayern get themselves into this precarious position? Much of it has been self-inflicted, and right now, the decision to jettison Nagelsmann in late March appears more than questionable. Put it down to panic and timing after Bayer Leverkusen outdid Bayern right before the March international break, on the back of a Dortmund hammering of FC Cologne that lifted BVB into top spot for the first time in 3 ½ years.