Paris Saint Germain v. Bayern Munich
Kickoff: Feb 14, 2023, 3:00pm
Line: PSG +160, Draw +260, Bayern Munich +220

If you haven’t found a way to get out of your Valentine’s Day obligations to watch this game, what are you even doing? This Round of 16 clash between two European giants is going to be epic and lucky for you, we have found the only wager worth making in this contest. Go ahead and buy the lucky lady the biggest bouquet of flowers you can find, because Bayern Munich is going to come through in a big way!

When PSG and Bayern Munich meet in this Round of 16 first leg at the Parc de Prince in Paris, it’ll be the first meeting between the two sides since the 2021 Champions League quarterfinal that saw PSG advance 3-3 on aggregate thanks to the away goals rule. That rule has since been abolished, so the team with the most goals scored over the two legs will advance to the next round.

PSG come into this contest in poor form having been knocked out of the Coupe de France on Feb 8, only to follow that up with a 3-1 league loss to Monaco on the 11th. Defensively they’ve been in shambles and have not kept a clean sheet against a competitive team since the beginning of January.

This is where Bayern comes into play. The Bavarians were held to three straight 1-1 draws after the World Cup restart, but since then have reeled off three wins in a row, outscoring the opposition 11-2. They look every bit the part of Champions League contender and I expect them to get on the score sheet early and often in this one.

Could we see a high scoring draw? It’s possible. The over 2.5 goals is juiced heavily to the over, so instead we pivot to Bayern’s team total of 1.5 goals and we are playing the OVER at -110 odds.

Pick: Bayern Munich Team Total OVER 1.5 goals -110